Part 2:  Mortality

Spend the least amount of time analyzing trends in the Crude Death Rate.  Quite possibly the Crude Death Rate, since it is so greatly influenced by the age structure of a population, will give you a false impression of mortality conditions in your two populations. It is also an especially problematic "comparative" measure of the force of mortality since oftentimes a young population with worse mortality conditions will have a lower crude death rate than an older population with better mortality conditions.

 

 

 

Spend more time analyzing trends in the Infant Mortality Rate.  The Infant Mortality Rate is a very sensitive measure of not only the health conditions of infants but also of the general health conditions of a population.  In many populations it has undergone dramatic changes over the last 55 years.

 

 

 

Spend the most time analyzing trends in life expectancy.  Life expectancy at birth is our best measure of mortality; you can use it to directly compare the mortality levels of two populations.  It is also easy to understand.  A female life expectancy of 62 years means that the age-sex specific death rates in effect in a particular year imply that a woman experiencing these rates would live to be 62.  It is also our best single comparative measure of mortality.  You can directly compare the life expectancies of two populations to determine how much higher mortality is in one population than the other.  If the male life expectancy of one population is 50 and that of another population is 75, then the mortality of the second population is really 50% higher than the first.  Analyzing changes in life expectancy over time is an easy way of tracking the general mortality trends.

 

 

 

In your analysis of life expectancy be sure to note if one population is "catching up" with the other population with respect to LE.  Looking at the "Life Expectancy and Ratio between Life Expectancy Chart" is an easy way of doing that.  Is the "ratio" (left scale of chart) getting closer to 1? 

 

 

 

Examine the "Annual Rate of Change, Life Expectancy by Sex" charts for both  populations.  See if there is a clear pattern of change, especially over the last ten to fifteen years.  You will need this analysis when it comes times for you to think about the future course of mortality in each population.

 

 

 

Also look for gender differences in the "Annual Rate of Change, Life Expectancy by Sex" charts for both populations.  See if both sexes are experiencing the same rate of improvement or retrogression.

 

 

 

In analyzing the Gender Difference in Life Expectancy Chart, your interest is in the sex differences in life expectancy trends.  Look at the "gap" between the female and male lines.   There "should be" (probably for biological reasons) a significant female advantage.  Focus on the time period from 1950 to 2005.  What has happened to that gap over time?